Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003605 0.003780 0.003958 0.004155 0.004365 0.004583 0.004827
2025-02-02 0.003374 0.003646 0.003936 0.004269 0.004642 0.005048 0.005527
2025-02-09 0.003136 0.003456 0.003805 0.004218 0.004695 0.005232 0.005887
2025-02-16 0.002982 0.003337 0.003734 0.004214 0.004784 0.005443 0.006271
2025-02-23 0.002846 0.003226 0.003658 0.004192 0.004839 0.005606 0.006596
2025-03-02 0.002765 0.003171 0.003642 0.004234 0.004966 0.005854 0.007031
2025-03-09 0.002654 0.003074 0.003567 0.004197 0.004990 0.005971 0.007303
2025-03-16 0.002554 0.002984 0.003496 0.004159 0.005007 0.006075 0.007555
2025-03-23 0.002449 0.002884 0.003407 0.004091 0.004980 0.006119 0.007727
2025-03-30 0.002356 0.002794 0.003325 0.004029 0.004956 0.006161 0.007893
2025-04-06 0.002302 0.002750 0.003300 0.004037 0.005022 0.006323 0.008231
2025-04-13 0.002184 0.002621 0.003162 0.003892 0.004876 0.006191 0.008145
2025-04-20 0.002140 0.002587 0.003145 0.003908 0.004951 0.006368 0.008517
2025-04-27 0.002135 0.002602 0.003193 0.004012 0.005151 0.006728 0.009180
2025-05-04 0.002069 0.002536 0.003131 0.003965 0.005137 0.006784 0.009388
2025-05-11 0.002025 0.002497 0.003103 0.003962 0.005184 0.006927 0.009736
2025-05-18 0.001976 0.002450 0.003064 0.003941 0.005204 0.007030 0.010026
2025-05-25 0.001953 0.002436 0.003067 0.003979 0.005310 0.007265 0.010538
2025-06-01 0.001904 0.002387 0.003022 0.003946 0.005308 0.007336 0.010786
2025-06-08 0.001858 0.002339 0.002976 0.003911 0.005302 0.007398 0.011021
2025-06-15 0.001804 0.002279 0.002913 0.003849 0.005253 0.007390 0.011135
2025-06-22 0.001754 0.002225 0.002855 0.003792 0.005209 0.007387 0.011257
2025-06-29 0.001729 0.002203 0.002841 0.003799 0.005264 0.007544 0.011667